Sofia Costoulas vs T. Mrdeza · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 18, 2026 • 8:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Sofia Costoulas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sofia Costoulas
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,243 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,243 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -11.1 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
T. Mrdeza
Games won (last 10)
17%
2 matches tracked · limited sample
Player Skillset
Based on ~84 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~84 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sofia Costoulas and T. Mrdeza are set to meet at the French Open on May 18, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Costoulas enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Mrdeza has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Costoulas entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Costoulas leads 1–0 over Mrdeza, including a win in their most recent meeting.