Manuel Cerundolo Juan vs Raphael Collignon · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bordeaux • Clay • May 17, 2026 • 2:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Manuel Cerundolo Juan
Key insights
Player performance profile
Manuel Cerundolo Juan
50% · 2–2 on hard
57% · 12–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,626 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,626 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.0 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Raphael Collignon
67% · 4–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,669 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,669 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.7 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Manuel Cerundolo Juan and Raphael Collignon are set to meet at the Bordeaux on May 17, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Juan enters with a 12–9 record on clay courts in 2026, while Collignon has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Collignon, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Juan leads 2–0 over Collignon, including a win in their most recent meeting.