BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Manuel Cerundolo Juan vs Raphael Collignon · Match odds & ELO prediction

Bordeaux • Clay • May 17, 2026 • 2:05 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Manuel Cerundolo Juan

Key insights

Player performance profile

Manuel Cerundolo Juan

HARDSmall sample

50% · 22 on hard

CLAY

57% · 129 on clay

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,949 points across 52 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.630% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.588% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.245% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%42% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Raphael Collignon

HARD

67% · 42 on hard

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,936 points across 32 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.333% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.949% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+6.994% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
64%86% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Manuel Cerundolo Juan and Raphael Collignon are set to meet at the Bordeaux on May 17, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Juan enters with a 12–9 record on clay courts in 2026, while Collignon has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Juan leads 3–1 over Collignon.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Juan and Collignon have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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