BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone · Match odds & ELO prediction

Geneva • Clay • May 17, 2026 • 12:10 PM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Mariano Navone

Key insights

Player performance profile

Marco Trungelliti

HARD

40% · 23 on hard

CLAY

71% · 156 on clay

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,455 points across 35 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.59% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.167% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.268% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
53%57% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Mariano Navone

HARD

55% · 65 on hard

CLAY

57% · 86 on clay

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,305 points across 57 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.68% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.798% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.713% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
36%17% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Marco Trungelliti and Mariano Navone are set to meet at the Geneva on May 17, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Trungelliti enters with a 15–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Navone has posted a 8–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Trungelliti entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Navone leads 1–0 over Trungelliti, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Navone, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Trungelliti has gone 1–4 over the same span.
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