Marko Topo vs Hugo Gaston · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hamburg • Clay • May 16, 2026 • 12:35 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Hugo Gaston
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marko Topo
65% · 15–8 on hard
67% · 30–15 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,086 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,086 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +11.0 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hugo Gaston
56% · 9–7 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marko Topo and Hugo Gaston are set to meet at the Hamburg on May 16, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Topo enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Gaston has posted a 3–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Topo, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Gaston leads 1–0 over Topo, including a win in their most recent meeting.