Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 15, 2026 • 1:45 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Casper Ruud
Key insights
Player performance profile
Casper Ruud
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,691 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,691 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.9 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luciano Darderi
29% · 6–15 on hard
73% · 30–11 on clay
33% · 2–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,054 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,054 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 56% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Casper Ruud and Luciano Darderi are set to meet at the Rome on May 15, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Ruud enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Darderi has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Ruud leads 1–0 over Darderi, including a win in their most recent meeting.