Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 14, 2026 • 8:20 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Elina Svitolina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,714 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,714 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elina Svitolina
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,094 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,094 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Iga Swiatek and Elina Svitolina are set to meet at the Rome on May 14, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Swiatek enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Svitolina has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.