BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Alex Molcan vs Rei Sakamoto · Match odds & ELO prediction

Bordeaux • Clay • May 14, 2026 • 1:10 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Alex Molcan

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alex Molcan

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,856 points across 13 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.138% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
1.996% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.95% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
40%23% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Rei Sakamoto

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,450 points across 24 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.677% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.930% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.168% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
64%83% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alex Molcan and Rei Sakamoto are set to meet at the Bordeaux on May 14, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Molcan enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Sakamoto has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sakamoto entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Molcan leads 1–0 over Sakamoto, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Molcan and Sakamoto have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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