Matteo Berrettini vs Taro Daniel · Match odds & ELO prediction
Valencia • Clay • May 13, 2026 • 4:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Matteo Berrettini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matteo Berrettini
60% · 3–2 on hard
50% · 7–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,761 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,761 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.3 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 49% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Taro Daniel
31% · 10–22 on hard
11% · 1–8 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,917 points across 25 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,917 points across 25 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.6 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.2 | 37% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 9% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matteo Berrettini and Taro Daniel are set to meet at the Valencia on May 13, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Berrettini enters with a 7–7 record on clay courts in 2026, while Daniel has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Daniel entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.