BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Agustin Tirante Thiago vs Daniil Medvedev · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rome • Clay • May 12, 2026 • 7:55 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Daniil Medvedev

Key insights

Player performance profile

Agustin Tirante Thiago

HARD

54% · 76 on hard

CLAY

67% · 84 on clay

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,706 points across 39 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.476% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.833% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.614% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%10% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Daniil Medvedev

HARD

100% · 50 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,464 points across 77 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.476% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
1.696% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.415% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
54%58% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Agustin Tirante Thiago and Daniil Medvedev are set to meet at the Rome on May 12, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Thiago enters with a 8–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Medvedev has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Medvedev, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 1–0 over Thiago, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Thiago and Medvedev have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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