Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 12, 2026 • 5:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Coco Gauff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,410 points across 82 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,410 points across 82 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.9 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.3 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 72% | 90% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mirra Andreeva
70% · 14–6 on hard
86% · 12–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,484 points across 80 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,484 points across 80 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.9 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Coco Gauff and Mirra Andreeva are set to meet at the Rome on May 12, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Gauff enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Andreeva has posted a 12–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gauff entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gauff leads 5–0 over Andreeva, including a win in their most recent meeting.