Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 12, 2026 • 11:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Sorana Cirstea
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sorana Cirstea
77% · 17–5 on hard
75% · 6–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,056 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,056 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.0 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 65% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jelena Ostapenko
53% · 9–8 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,361 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,361 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sorana Cirstea and Jelena Ostapenko are set to meet at the Rome on May 12, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Cirstea enters with a 6–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Ostapenko has posted a 3–3 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Cirstea leads 3–2 over Ostapenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.