Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 11, 2026 • 7:00 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Elena Rybakina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Karolina Pliskova
57% · 4–3 on hard
75% · 6–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,338 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,338 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +11.3 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 86% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,016 points across 96 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,016 points across 96 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.4 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 74% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Karolina Pliskova and Elena Rybakina are set to meet at the Rome on May 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Pliskova enters with a 6–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Rybakina has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 4–0 over Pliskova, including a win in their most recent meeting.