Alina Charaeva vs Alice Tubello · Match odds & ELO prediction
Paris • Clay • May 11, 2026 • 1:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alina Charaeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alina Charaeva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,317 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,317 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alice Tubello
0% · 0–4 on hard
83% · 20–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~196 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~196 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alina Charaeva and Alice Tubello are set to meet at the Paris on May 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Charaeva enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Tubello has posted a 20–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Charaeva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Charaeva leads 1–0 over Tubello, including a win in their most recent meeting.