Rei Sakamoto vs Matteo Martineau · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bordeaux • Clay • May 11, 2026 • 8:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Rei Sakamoto
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rei Sakamoto
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,450 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,450 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Martineau
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 25% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rei Sakamoto and Matteo Martineau are set to meet at the Bordeaux on May 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Sakamoto enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Martineau has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sakamoto entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sakamoto leads 1–0 over Martineau, including a win in their most recent meeting.