Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Match odds & ELO prediction
Valencia • Clay • May 13, 2026 • 10:20 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Aleksandar Kovacevic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aleksandar Kovacevic
47% · 9–10 on hard
33% · 2–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,129 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,129 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 81% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.9 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 29% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
67% · 12–6 on hard
76% · 13–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 90% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.2 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aleksandar Kovacevic and Daniel Merida Aguilar are set to meet at the Valencia on May 13, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kovacevic enters with a 2–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Aguilar has posted a 13–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Aguilar entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kovacevic leads 1–0 over Aguilar, including a win in their most recent meeting.