Jakub Paul vs Stefano Napolitano · Match odds & ELO prediction
Valencia • Clay • May 11, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jakub Paul
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jakub Paul
62% · 23–14 on hard
63% · 12–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~135 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~135 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 37% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stefano Napolitano
47% · 7–8 on hard
55% · 12–10 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,072 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,072 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jakub Paul and Stefano Napolitano are set to meet at the Valencia on May 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Paul enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Napolitano has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Napolitano, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Paul leads 1–0 over Napolitano, including a win in their most recent meeting.