Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 11, 2026 • 11:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jelena Ostapenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Anna Kalinskaya
56% · 9–7 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,262 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,262 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 29% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 33% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jelena Ostapenko
53% · 9–8 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,482 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,482 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 75% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Anna Kalinskaya and Jelena Ostapenko are set to meet at the Rome on May 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kalinskaya enters with a 2–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Ostapenko has posted a 3–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ostapenko entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kalinskaya leads 4–1 over Ostapenko.