Lukas Neumayer vs Shintaro Mochizuki · Match odds & ELO prediction
Zagreb • Clay • May 11, 2026 • 2:30 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lukas Neumayer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lukas Neumayer
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,068 points across 12 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,068 points across 12 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.3 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 3% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Shintaro Mochizuki
25% · 4–12 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,549 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,549 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.0 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 46% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lukas Neumayer and Shintaro Mochizuki are set to meet at the Zagreb on May 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Neumayer enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Mochizuki has posted a 0–1 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Neumayer entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Neumayer leads 2–0 over Mochizuki, including a win in their most recent meeting.