Jay Clarke vs Moez Echargui · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tunis • Clay • May 12, 2026 • 1:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jay Clarke
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jay Clarke
36% · 4–7 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,691 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,691 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Moez Echargui
27% · 3–8 on hard
33% · 3–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,817 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,817 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +13.8 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jay Clarke and Moez Echargui are set to meet at the Tunis on May 12, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Clarke enters with a 4–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Echargui has posted a 3–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Clarke, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Clarke leads 1–0 over Echargui, including a win in their most recent meeting.