Marko Topo vs Eero Vasa · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras 6 • Clay • May 11, 2026 • 10:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Eero Vasa
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marko Topo
65% · 15–8 on hard
67% · 30–15 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,086 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,086 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +11.0 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Eero Vasa
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~265 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~265 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 45% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marko Topo and Eero Vasa are set to meet at the Oeiras 6 on May 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Topo enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Vasa has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Vasa leads 1–0 over Topo, including a win in their most recent meeting.