Gustavo Heide vs Facundo Diaz Acosta · Match odds & ELO prediction
Francavilla • Clay • May 10, 2026 • 9:50 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Facundo Diaz Acosta
Key insights
Player performance profile
Gustavo Heide
33% · 1–2 on hard
67% · 12–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,507 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,507 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
33% · 1–2 on hard
71% · 17–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,870 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,870 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 25% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.0 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 3% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Gustavo Heide and Facundo Diaz Acosta are set to meet at the Francavilla on May 10, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Heide enters with a 12–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Acosta has posted a 17–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Heide, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Acosta leads 2–0 over Heide, including a win in their most recent meeting.