Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 11, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Andrey Rublev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,305 points across 76 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,305 points across 76 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,819 points across 80 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,819 points across 80 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.6 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina are set to meet at the Rome on May 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Rublev enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Fokina has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rublev, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 5–1 over Fokina, including a win in their most recent meeting.