Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 10, 2026 • 4:05 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Luciano Darderi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tommy Paul
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 47% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luciano Darderi
29% · 6–15 on hard
73% · 30–11 on clay
33% · 2–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,054 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,054 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 56% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tommy Paul and Luciano Darderi are set to meet at the Rome on May 10, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Paul enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Darderi has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Darderi, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Paul leads 2–1 over Darderi.