Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 10, 2026 • 1:15 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lorenzo Musetti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Musetti
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 82% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Francisco Cerundolo
59% · 16–11 on hard
66% · 21–11 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,796 points across 77 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,796 points across 77 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Francisco Cerundolo are set to meet at the Rome on May 10, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Musetti enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Cerundolo has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Musetti entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.