Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 10, 2026 • 4:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Learner Tien
Key insights
Player performance profile
Learner Tien
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,192 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,192 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,471 points across 75 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,471 points across 75 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 90% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.2 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Learner Tien and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Rome on May 10, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Tien enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Bublik has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bublik entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tien leads 1–0 over Bublik, including a win in their most recent meeting.