Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 9, 2026 • 6:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Hamad Medjedovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hamad Medjedovic
55% · 6–5 on hard
83% · 10–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,941 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,941 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.2 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Joao Fonseca
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,853 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,853 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 90% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.5 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hamad Medjedovic and Joao Fonseca are set to meet at the Rome on May 9, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Medjedovic enters with a 10–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Fonseca has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fonseca entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Medjedovic leads 1–0 over Fonseca, including a win in their most recent meeting.