Ryan Seggerman vs Jay Clarke · Match odds & ELO prediction
Francavilla • Clay • May 8, 2026 • 11:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Ryan Seggerman
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ryan Seggerman
50% · 1–1 on hard
80% · 4–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~295 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~295 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jay Clarke
36% · 4–7 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,691 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,691 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ryan Seggerman and Jay Clarke are set to meet at the Francavilla on May 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Seggerman enters with a 4–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Clarke has posted a 4–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Clarke entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Seggerman leads 1–0 over Clarke, including a win in their most recent meeting.