Cristian Garin vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 9, 2026 • 12:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Cristian Garin
0% · 0–5 on hard
57% · 8–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,170 points across 38 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,170 points across 38 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 35% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,163 points across 77 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,163 points across 77 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 86% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.2 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 72% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Cristian Garin and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina are set to meet at the Rome on May 9, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Garin enters with a 8–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Fokina has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Garin entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Fokina leads 3–0 over Garin, including a win in their most recent meeting.