Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 9, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Key insights
Player performance profile
Corentin Moutet
58% · 22–16 on hard
47% · 8–9 on clay
69% · 9–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,034 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,034 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 49% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
58% · 7–5 on hard
79% · 15–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,210 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,210 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.9 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Corentin Moutet and Pablo Llamas Ruiz are set to meet at the Rome on May 9, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Moutet enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Ruiz has posted a 15–4 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Ruiz leads 1–0 over Moutet, including a win in their most recent meeting.