Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 9, 2026 • 8:50 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Alexei Popyrin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexei Popyrin
18% · 2–9 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,243 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,243 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jakub Mensik
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,569 points across 73 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,569 points across 73 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexei Popyrin and Jakub Mensik are set to meet at the Rome on May 9, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Popyrin enters with a 2–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Mensik has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Mensik, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Mensik leads 3–1 over Popyrin.