Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina Muchova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 8, 2026 • 11:00 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Anastasia Potapova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Anastasia Potapova
47% · 7–8 on hard
79% · 11–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,951 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,951 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 42% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karolina Muchova
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,408 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,408 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.3 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Anastasia Potapova and Karolina Muchova are set to meet at the Rome on May 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Potapova enters with a 11–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Muchova has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Potapova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Muchova leads 3–1 over Potapova.