August Holmgren vs Max Schoenhaus · Match odds & ELO prediction
Francavilla • Clay • May 8, 2026 • 2:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner August Holmgren
Key insights
Player performance profile
August Holmgren
50% · 12–12 on hard
100% · 1–0 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,135 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,135 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.5 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Max Schoenhaus
56% · 5–4 on hard
62% · 8–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~450 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~450 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
August Holmgren and Max Schoenhaus are set to meet at the Francavilla on May 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Holmgren enters with a 1–0 record on clay courts in 2026, while Schoenhaus has posted a 8–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Holmgren, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Holmgren leads 1–0 over Schoenhaus, including a win in their most recent meeting.