Tommy Paul vs Aleksandar Vukic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 8, 2026 • 3:50 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Tommy Paul
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tommy Paul
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 47% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Aleksandar Vukic
40% · 6–9 on hard
0% · 0–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,221 points across 76 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,221 points across 76 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 46% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 73% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tommy Paul and Aleksandar Vukic are set to meet at the Rome on May 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Paul enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Vukic has posted a 0–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paul entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Paul leads 2–1 over Vukic, including a win in their most recent meeting.