Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 7, 2026 • 11:05 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Jasmine Paolini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jasmine Paolini
53% · 8–7 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,463 points across 76 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,463 points across 76 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Leolia Jeanjean
40% · 6–9 on hard
67% · 6–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,571 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,571 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 59% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.8 | 89% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jasmine Paolini and Leolia Jeanjean are set to meet at the Rome on May 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Paolini enters with a 1–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Jeanjean has posted a 6–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Jeanjean, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Paolini leads 2–0 over Jeanjean, including a win in their most recent meeting.