M. Tobon vs Facundo Mena · Match odds & ELO prediction
Santos • Clay • May 7, 2026 • 6:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner M. Tobon
Key insights
Player performance profile
M. Tobon
63% · 5–3 on hard
63% · 10–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Facundo Mena
57% · 4–3 on hard
67% · 16–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~439 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~439 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.4 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
M. Tobon and Facundo Mena are set to meet at the Santos on May 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Tobon enters with a 10–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Mena has posted a 16–8 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tobon entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tobon leads 1–0 over Mena, including a win in their most recent meeting.