Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 7, 2026 • 9:05 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Nikoloz Basilashvili
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33% · 5–10 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,333 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,333 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
67% · 12–6 on hard
76% · 13–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 90% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.2 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nikoloz Basilashvili and Daniel Merida Aguilar are set to meet at the Rome on May 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Basilashvili enters with a 7–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Aguilar has posted a 13–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Aguilar, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Basilashvili leads 1–0 over Aguilar, including a win in their most recent meeting.