Lilli Tagger vs Maria Sakkari · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 6, 2026 • 1:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Maria Sakkari
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lilli Tagger
74% · 14–5 on hard
56% · 5–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,921 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,921 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 50% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.0 | 73% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Maria Sakkari
57% · 8–6 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,795 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,795 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 37% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 46% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lilli Tagger and Maria Sakkari are set to meet at the Rome on May 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Tagger enters with a 5–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Sakkari has posted a 0–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sakkari, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Sakkari leads 2–0 over Tagger, including a win in their most recent meeting.