Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 7, 2026 • 10:50 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jacob Fearnley
29% · 4–10 on hard
100% · 2–0 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,476 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,476 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 90% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
44% · 7–9 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,806 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,806 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.2 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -11.3 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +10.3 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 74% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jacob Fearnley and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard are set to meet at the Rome on May 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Fearnley enters with a 2–0 record on clay courts in 2026, while Perricard has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Perricard, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Perricard leads 1–0 over Fearnley, including a win in their most recent meeting.