Jessica Pegula vs Zeynep Sonmez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 8, 2026 • 2:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jessica Pegula
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jessica Pegula
83% · 19–4 on hard
86% · 6–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,344 points across 91 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,344 points across 91 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.3 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.0 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Zeynep Sonmez
56% · 10–8 on hard
75% · 6–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,217 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,217 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jessica Pegula and Zeynep Sonmez are set to meet at the Rome on May 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Pegula enters with a 6–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Sonmez has posted a 6–2 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Pegula leads 1–0 over Sonmez, including a win in their most recent meeting.