Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Gustavo Heide · Match odds & ELO prediction
Francavilla • Clay • May 6, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Gustavo Heide
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefanos Sakellaridis
70% · 42–18 on hard
53% · 9–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~803 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~803 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.9 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gustavo Heide
33% · 1–2 on hard
67% · 12–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,507 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,507 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefanos Sakellaridis and Gustavo Heide are set to meet at the Francavilla on May 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Sakellaridis enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Heide has posted a 12–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Heide entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Heide leads 1–0 over Sakellaridis, including a win in their most recent meeting.


