Gustavo Heide vs Lilian Marmousez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Francavilla • Clay • May 5, 2026 • 9:05 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Gustavo Heide
Key insights
Player performance profile
Gustavo Heide
33% · 1–2 on hard
67% · 12–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,507 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,507 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lilian Marmousez
60% · 3–2 on hard
67% · 2–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Gustavo Heide and Lilian Marmousez are set to meet at the Francavilla on May 5, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Heide enters with a 12–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Marmousez has posted a 2–1 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Heide leads 1–0 over Marmousez, including a win in their most recent meeting.