Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 7, 2026 • 5:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Sebastian Ofner
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sebastian Ofner
73% · 11–4 on hard
60% · 9–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,868 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,868 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.0 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex Michelsen
63% · 12–7 on hard
33% · 2–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,504 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,504 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 50% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sebastian Ofner and Alex Michelsen are set to meet at the Rome on May 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Ofner enters with a 9–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Michelsen has posted a 2–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Michelsen entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ofner leads 2–1 over Michelsen, including a win in their most recent meeting.