Marcos Giron vs Marin Cilic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 7, 2026 • 11:00 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Marin Cilic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marcos Giron
60% · 12–8 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,238 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,238 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marin Cilic
57% · 8–6 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,992 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,992 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.0 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 7% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marcos Giron and Marin Cilic are set to meet at the Rome on May 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Giron enters with a 2–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Cilic has posted a 2–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cilic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Cilic leads 2–0 over Giron, including a win in their most recent meeting.