Caty McNally vs Daria Kasatkina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 6, 2026 • 6:25 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Caty McNally
Key insights
Player performance profile
Caty McNally
50% · 8–8 on hard
57% · 4–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,794 points across 41 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,794 points across 41 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Caty McNally and Daria Kasatkina are set to meet at the Rome on May 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. McNally enters with a 4–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Kasatkina has posted a 5–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kasatkina entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.