Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 4, 2026 • 5:30 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Taylor Townsend
Key insights
Player performance profile
Taylor Townsend
67% · 10–5 on hard
67% · 2–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,593 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,593 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +10.3 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 73% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rebecca Sramkova
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,677 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,677 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 49% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Taylor Townsend and Rebecca Sramkova are set to meet at the Rome on May 4, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Townsend enters with a 2–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Sramkova has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Townsend, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Townsend leads 1–0 over Sramkova, including a win in their most recent meeting.