Renata Zarazua vs Federica Urgesi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 4, 2026 • 3:00 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Federica Urgesi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Renata Zarazua
48% · 10–11 on hard
70% · 7–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,548 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,548 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Federica Urgesi
56% · 9–7 on hard
67% · 2–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~202 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~202 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.1 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Renata Zarazua and Federica Urgesi are set to meet at the Rome on May 4, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Zarazua enters with a 7–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Urgesi has posted a 2–1 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Zarazua, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Urgesi leads 1–0 over Zarazua, including a win in their most recent meeting.