Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Otto Virtanen · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 4, 2026 • 12:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
59% · 10–7 on hard
55% · 6–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 21% | 3% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Otto Virtanen
67% · 8–4 on hard
29% · 2–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,782 points across 31 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,782 points across 31 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Otto Virtanen are set to meet at the Rome on May 4, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kjaer enters with a 6–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Virtanen has posted a 2–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kjaer entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kjaer leads 2–0 over Virtanen, including a win in their most recent meeting.