Luca Castelnuovo vs Evan Zhu · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wuxi • Hard • May 4, 2026 • 6:30 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Luca Castelnuovo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Luca Castelnuovo
65% · 36–19 on hard
60% · 3–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Evan Zhu
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~89 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~89 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.0 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Luca Castelnuovo and Evan Zhu are set to meet at the Wuxi on May 4, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Castelnuovo enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Zhu has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Castelnuovo entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Castelnuovo leads 2–0 over Zhu, including a win in their most recent meeting.