Ryan Seggerman vs Matteo Martineau · Match odds & ELO prediction
Francavilla • Clay • May 3, 2026 • 10:15 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Ryan Seggerman
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ryan Seggerman
50% · 1–1 on hard
80% · 4–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~295 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~295 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Martineau
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 25% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ryan Seggerman and Matteo Martineau are set to meet at the Francavilla on May 3, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Seggerman enters with a 4–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Martineau has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Seggerman leads 1–0 over Martineau, including a win in their most recent meeting.