Alex Bolt vs Fajing Sun · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wuxi • Hard • May 5, 2026 • 5:35 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Fajing Sun
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex Bolt
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,259 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,259 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Fajing Sun
63% · 19–11 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~582 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~582 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.2 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.8 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.1 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex Bolt and Fajing Sun are set to meet at the Wuxi on May 5, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Bolt enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Sun has posted a 19–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bolt entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sun leads 3–0 over Bolt, including a win in their most recent meeting.